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Episode 889 – Supplier Survey, Big Truck Sales Up, Continental’s Impressive EPA Numbers

May 14th, 2012 at 12:06pm

Runtime: 8:26

A new supplier survey shows that while they still remain the best, Toyota’s and Honda’s popularity with suppliers is plummeting. Sales of medium- and heavy-duty trucks were up big last month in the U.S. and Canada. Bentley’s new Continental GT V-8 is a lot less damaging to your wallet and the environment. All that and more, plus consulting firm KPMG explains what’s driving mergers and acquisitions in the auto industry.

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Thank you for joining us for another week of Autoline Daily. I’m John McElroy and here’s the latest news.

R.I.P. CARROLL SHELBY
Well you probably heard this one already, but motorsports legend Carroll Shelby passed away at the age of 89. Best remembered for his Cobra sports cars and Shelby Mustangs, I actually got to know Carroll on a first name basis back in the 1980s when he was working with Lee Iacocca at Chrysler to come out with a performance version of the Dodge Omni, known as the GLH. That stood for “Go Like Hell.” Carroll always was a blunt and colorful speaker. When I asked him why he felt the need to do a performance version of a car like the Dodge Omni he said, “Sheet John, that car couldn’t pull a wet string out of a cat’s ass.” And that sounded like as good a reason as any to me. Carroll was one of the greats and he left the car business in better shape than how he found it.

TOYOTA & HONDA SLIP IN SUPPLIER SURVEY
Supplier companies have always rated Toyota and Honda as the best automakers to do business with. But that is changing fast. The latest supplier survey from a company called Planning Perspectives shows that while they still remain the best, Toyota’s and Honda’s popularity with suppliers is plummeting, while GM, Ford and Chrysler are climbing quickly. This rings true to me. I’ve heard suppliers complain recently that Toyota and Honda are pounding them to cut prices and treating them like General Motors did back in the 1990s, which is to say, with no sense of partnership whatsoever.

BUY A SIERRA DENALI, GET 5 TONS OF GAS!
Car dealers love to come up with gimmicks to sell vehicles but this is one of the crazier ones I’ve seen. A GMC dealer in Shanghai is giving away five tons of gasoline with the purchase of a new Sierra Denali. Yes, five tons! A gallon of gas weighs about six pounds so that’s either 1,600 or 1,800 gallons of gas, depending on whether it’s a metric ton or not. In either case, that’s worth about $8,000 in China. It may seem like a lot, but with the Sierra Denali costing about $130,000 in China, dealers have to come up with gimmicks like this to get someone to pay that much for a pickup.

BIG TRUCK SALES UP
We’ve been tracking this for some time now but sales of big trucks are still screaming ahead. According to WardsAuto, they were up close to 40 percent in April compared to a year ago in the U.S. And it’s the same story in Canada where big truck sales jumped 38 percent. As I keep saying, this a good sign that the economy will continue to grow

CONTINENTAL’S IMPRESSIVE EPA NUMBERS
Yin and yang, give and take, that’s the way it is in the automotive industry. Supercars for instance come with super-sized price tags. Their ferocious performance is tempered by frightening fuel consumption. But Bentley’s new Continental GT V-8 is a lot less damaging to your wallet and the environment. According to the EPA, this British Bruiser stickers at a not unreasonable 15 miles per gallon around town and 24 on the highway. The W-12-powered version musters just 12 in the city and 19 on the open road. The GT’s twin-trurbo 4.0-liter V-8 delivers 500 brake horsepower. From a standstill, 60 miles an hour is attainable in just 4.6 seconds. The car gives up very little performance compared to the 12-cylinder model. What it does sacrifice though is expense. It costs about $18,000 less!

PORSCHE DROPS SMALL CAR PLANS
Porsche’s plans to offer a smaller, cheaper sports car have been scrapped. Reuters reports the proposed sub-Boxster-sized model has been jettisoned because the company is worried about diluting the brand and alienating existing customers. Porsche wants to sell about 200,000 vehicles annually, and a more affordable car would be a great way to boost volume. But, apparently, not the right way.

Say, has all that merger and acquisition activity finally died down in the automotive industry? The consulting firm KPMG doesn’t think so, and coming up next you’ll see why.


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KPMG MERGER & ACQUISITION SURVEY
KPMG is a company that provides tax and audit and advisory services for all kinds of corporate clients. It also keeps a very close eye on what drives M&A, mergers and acquisitions, in the automotive industry. Gary Silberg, with KPMG, conducts a survey of automotive executives to track what’s driving M&A and the latest survey turned up some interesting results.

Hello, I’m Gary Silberg the National Automotive Sector Leader at KPMG, here to talk to you about some key strategic issues facing the automotive industry today.

Whether it’s Geely acquiring Volvo, Tata buying Jaguar and Land Rover, GM taking an equity investment in PSA, or other tie-ups that seem to be announced on a regular basis, mergers, acquisitions and alliances are alive and well in the automotive industry.

We believe there are three primary trends driving all this M&A: First, Growth. Manufacturers want access to new markets and customers. Second, new technologies. Access to new technologies and products will be critical for success in the marketplace. Third, cost savings. Management sees acquisitions or alliances as a means to reduce risk, share development cost and gain scale.

To validate our hypothesis, our 2012 KPMG Global Automotive Executive Survey interviewed 200 senior executives from the world’s leading automotive companies, suppliers, dealers, financial service providers, and, for the first time, mobility service providers.

They confirmed the shift towards partnerships. A large majority — 68 percent– view joint ventures and strategic alliances at an OEM level as a key strategy to compete in the marketplace.

Tier 1 suppliers responded strongly in favor of mergers and acquisitions. With most of their restructuring behind them, they now have the profits, strong balance sheets and cash to do them.

Interestingly, previous respondents saw joint ventures and alliances primarily as a way to minimize debt and risk of bankruptcy. But in our most recent survey this was barely mentioned, a sign the industry is now looking to grow, rather than merely survive.

To survive and thrive in this intensely competitive market, automotive companies must move to the next level of product innovation, quality and cost competitiveness. Keeping strategic core competencies in house will remain critical. However, companies must also be able to look outside and see what others are investing and innovating in. The ability to balance internal and external competencies will determine the winners and losers. We believe that through collaboration, acquisitions, joint ventures and alliances, companies will be better able to compete and win in the marketplace and we believe you will see more announcements about this in the headlines in the future.

Thanks for your interest and I look forward to updating you again.

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21 Comments to “Episode 889 – Supplier Survey, Big Truck Sales Up, Continental’s Impressive EPA Numbers”

  1. Kit Gerhart Says:

    Do you have to take delivery of your 5 tons of gas all at once, when you buy the GMC truck in China?

  2. Chuck Grenci Says:

    John, commenting on your estimation of the economy’s health, via truck sales; I’m thinking while still being a leading indicator, it (truck sales) may not be the bellwether that you prescribe. I’m thinking maybe in addition to this metric, it be combined with some other indicator that would more better reflect an absolute movement in the area you are trying to forecast. Of course, maybe I’m wrong, and you’re just way ahead of the curve (but I’m seeing warning signs of decline) and really on a relative recent basis, kind of a flat curve.

  3. pedro fernandez Says:

    #1 Yep! and since no one has the ability to store it, most people will pass up on the offer, brilliant plan by Juan Hung Lo, a Chino-Cuban GM exec over there.

  4. HtG Says:

    I’ll admit to being a sucker for everything Shelby touched. Was there ever a car or Chili powder with his name on it that didn’t get your attention?

    Some Shelby quotes, I guess.

    http://www.esquire.com/features/what-ive-learned/carroll-shelby-quotes-12234

  5. pedro fernandez Says:

    The only thing kind of regretful was that Shelby Mustang rag top that was available at Hertz I think that kind of was a ploy on the part of Hertz to get some xtra business using that great name

  6. C-Tech Says:

    @ #4 I can’t afford a Cobra, but I could afford his great chili mix. I even changed stores to buy it.
    The 5 tons of gas gimmick ranks right up there with the deal from some Cadillac dealers in the “gas crisis” of 73-74, “Buy a Cadillac and get a Vega”.
    If I had a chance, I would ask Gary Silberg which of these acquisitions today will be tomorrows divestitures?

  7. Ed Says:

    Toyota asked suppliers back in 08 – 09 to give a 30 % cut in price of parts, well the proofs in the quality of build and supplier relationship, and that is suffering, consumers are not getting those costs passed on, but they are getting a downgraded product.

  8. C-Tech Says:

    @ #5 The recent Hertz Shelby was a tribute or throwback to the original Shelby Hertz GT350 briefly in the 60′s. Too young to remember but I heard people rented them, raced them, and brought them back ragged (I bought the insurance deductible waiver! bye!).

  9. T. Bejma Says:

    John,

    Looks like you are right about the the economic recovery…

    http://www.autoblog.com/2012/05/14/auto-sales-credited-with-half-of-u-s-economic-growth/

  10. cwolf Says:

    I have to agree with Chuck Grenci(post #2)on this one. While the US output looks positive for several months ahead,it will soon stagnate. Chinese imports,exports and their internal economy has been in a decline,even with their cooked books! Outsiders will feel the effect of China’s need to tighten their belt as they focus on internal investments. Europe is facing a potential disaster. I think Greece,and others,will have to revert to old currencys. Doing so will allow for currency devaluation so exporting can help stimilate the economy,something like what Iceland has done. Thus,German money will,unfortunately,gain value; hence causing unwanted inflation. In a nut shell,a main reason Germany has shown prosperity is because they sucked the blood,and profits,from all the southern countries in the union! This may increase the price of borrowing money in the US. AS I predicted earlier,as long as we narrow our focus to Mexico,Canada and from within,those truckers just might be able to make those truck payments for another couple years. Run with the ball while you got it!

  11. cwolf Says:

    How about this! On the way home I pulled along side a 69-70 ElCamino SS. 100% stock,including the wheels. The red stripe side wall Tiger Paws really set the black car perfectly. And the sound was a note from heaven!! Wow,what a treat for me.

  12. cwolf Says:

    I see GM just bought a finance company today;can’t recall which one. Guess they want to grow that part of the Biz.

  13. XA351GT Says:

    Wait Porsche isn’t going to build a low cost car. Here’s a idea Porsche just get a Scion IQ and put a Porsche grille treatment on it. Oh wait Aston Martin beat them to it, darn. They cold made millions. LOL

  14. Chuck Grenci Says:

    Funny; Porsche doesn’t want to build another sports car (their roots) but has and is bringing another crossover (Macan) into the market. This move has already drawn criticism from experts on the ‘Mark’ (including Peter D. and I think John as well). Sounds like pretzel (a kind of convoluted) logic to me. When the Boxster came into being it was the low cost Porsche, it has since gone somewhat upscale; sounds to me, maybe there would be room for, a more entry level, Porsche. (Probably more money (to be made) in the crossover though).

  15. Jesse W. Henry Says:

    #4 HtG

    Thanks for the link that was an enjoyable read.

  16. cwolf Says:

    I’m surprised the new engines(gas/diesel)to soon to be under the hood of the Opel/Vauxhall brands were not mensioned! I find this an important tid-bit of info for GM’s planned efforts to turn these Euro brands around. A 1.6l DI Ecotec was disclosed which provides a higher torque span in the 1700 rpm range. This may catch the attension of a few more lookers. This tells me GM can’t wait until the union contract expires to minimize losses. I have to snicker at the fact these motors will be built in Hungary! The battle between GM and German unions is better than an old Ali fight!

  17. pedro fernandez Says:

    Anyone thinks that manufacturers are gonna start selling more basic cars if the Toyota/Subaru sporty car is a big success, with that I mean less bells and whistles and more driver oriented hardware, the antidote to the autonomous car.

  18. Kit Gerhart Says:

    #17,
    I’d certainly like to see car companies go more “basic” on controls, like using basic knobs for radio and air controls. I’m not holding my breath, though.

  19. pedro fernandez Says:

    Today I noticed a BMW X5 has the door lock buttons flush with the top of the door panel when it’s in the locked position meaning that if the electrical system fails, you can’t even open the doors because there is no way you can pull up on the button. Ridiculous

  20. HtG Says:

    explosive bolts, Pedro

    Roger that, Houston

  21. Kit Gerhart Says:

    #19,

    My MINI is that way with the buttons, but if you pull the inside door latches twice, they unlock and the doors open. Maybe the X5 is the same.

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