AD #3522 – EU On Road to Big IRA Exemption; Ford EU Struggles Could Lead to Massive Changes; NIO Develops EV Wagon for EU
March 9th, 2023 at 11:58am
Listen to “AD #3522 – EU On Road to Big IRA Exemption; Ford Could Give Up on EU Production; NIO Develops EV Wagon for EU” on Spreaker.
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Runtime: 10:41
0:00 EU On the Road to Big IRA Exemption
1:12 Analysts Skeptical Over Ford’s EU Plans
3:29 NIO Develops EV Wagon for Europe
4:54 Nissan Commonizing EV Components
5:43 AR HUDs Set to Explode
7:05 Mack Trucks Going Electric
8:18 ZF Moves Into the Software Age
8:54 More Electric Black Cabs Than Diesel
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EU ON THE ROAD TO BIG IRA EXEMPTION
Europe is going to get another break to qualify for EV incentives in the U.S. President Joe Biden and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen are expected to begin negotiations tomorrow to ensure free-trade-like status for the European Union. That will allow European minerals for batteries to qualify for tax credits under the Inflation Reduction Act. The bill requires a rising percentage of minerals to come from the U.S. or a free trade partner. And EVs receive up to $3,750 in incentives for meeting the mandate. And if the EU is getting this exemption, we think it’s likely it will be extended to South Korea and Japan, which have also criticized foreign car exclusions in the Inflation Reduction Act. Those countries got a break last year, when the U.S. Treasury department ruled that EVs regardless of where they’re made, can receive the full $7,500 credit as long as it’s leased by a customer.
FORD COULD GIVE UP ON EU PRODUCTION
Last month, Ford announced it’s cutting 3,800 jobs in Europe because it says the region is highly competitive and faces “significant economic and geo-political headwinds.” So to differentiate itself and attract more customers, Ford plans to focus more on BEVs and introduce vehicles in Europe that are “unapologetically American.” But Wards Auto reports some analysts aren’t sold on Ford’s plan and say it won’t help turn the automaker’s European operations around. While it posted a small EBIT profit in Europe last year thanks to its commercial business, it posted losses the five years before that. Its market share has been nearly cut in half over the last decade. In 2011 it was at 8% but last year it fell to 4.6%. And the company has slowly slid into the lower priced segment of the European market. Ford plans on introducing two EVs in Europe based on Volkswagen’s MEB platform but analysts question whether Ford will be able to differentiate them enough for customers to embrace them. It’s already having trouble selling the Mach-E, only a little more than 21,000 were sold in Europe in the first 11 months last year, according to CarSalesBase. And one analyst says that Ford doesn’t have the money to develop BEVs to compete with VW, Stellantis or Chinese brands and that it will give up on producing vehicles in Europe altogether and just become a pure importer.

NIO INTRODUCING STATION WAGON FOR EUROPE
Chinese automakers have had a slow go in Europe. For example, NIO sold just 13 EVs in Germany last month. BYD sold only 7. And Aiways didn’t sell any. Yet overall EV sales were up 15% in the country. So, now we’re starting to see Chinese automakers cater to European tastes. NIO received approval from Chinese regulators for a new station wagon version of its ET5 EV. But surprisingly, the sedan and station wagon have the exact same exterior dimensions. Only the back end treatment is different. There’s three battery sizes available; 75 kWh, 100 kWh and 150 kWh; that all have different chemistries. They provide anywhere from 550 to 1,000 kilometers of range in the sedan. That’s 341 to 621 miles. Like NIO’s other EVs, the ET5 wagon will support battery swapping. Power is sent to all four wheels from two electric motors that combine for 360 kW or 490 horsepower. The ET5 wagon will first go on sale in Europe and then in China. No price was given, but the sedan starts right around 50,000 euros.

NISSAN TO MAKE COMMON EV COMPONENTS
Nissan is slashing the cost to make power units for its future EV and extended range electric vehicles or what it calls e-Power. It’s going to commonize components in the EV drive units, which it says will reduce development and manufacturing costs by 30% by 2026 as well as the overall size and weight of the powertrain. The shared parts include sections of the gearset, the inverter and motor. Nissan also hopes to get rare earth materials used in that motor down to next to nothing. With the move it will now be able to produce both the EV and e-Power units on the same production line and aims to reach price parity between its e-Power and ICE vehicles by 2026.

AR HUDs SET TO EXPLODE
Envisics, a UK-based company that’s developing augmented reality, head-up displays that use holographic technology, is attracting interest from several automakers. It just raised $50 million from Stellantis, Jaguar Land Rover, General Motors and Hyundai Mobis, the parts and technology supplier owned by the Hyundai Group. GM will be the first automaker to use Envisics second-gen AR HUD, which debuts in the 2024 Cadillac Lyriq that launches later this year. The market for augmented reality HUDs is expected to grow significantly over the next decade, from 1.6 million units in 2022 to 19.1 million in 2032.

MACK TRUCKS GOING ELECTRIC
Yesterday, we reported on the Shyft Group that’s going to make Class 3, 4 and 5 commercial vehicles through the Blue Arc brand and now it looks like Mack Trucks has Class 6 and 7 covered. It just revealed its all-new medium-duty EV, the MD Electric. While the Blue Arc truck could handle up to 10,000 pounds the Mack has a payload of up to 19,400 pounds. It comes in wheelbases from 206- to 270-inches and either two or three battery pack configurations. The two battery setup has 150 kWh of space and provides 150 miles of range, while the three battery is 240 kWh and provides 230 miles of range. But it only supports a DC fast charging rate of up to 80 kW so charging time is going to be high. As for power, it has a nearly 260 horsepower electric motor that generates 1,850 lb-ft of torque. Mack says the new MD Electric will arrive late this year.

ZF MOVES INTO THE SOFTWARE AGE
German supplier ZF has been producing automotive components for more than a century but it’s not just a hardware company anymore. It introduced its first pure software product called cubiX, which debuts in the Lotus Eletre electric SUV. The software controls all chassis functions including brakes, front and rear axle steering, active roll bars and the electric drive of the Lotus. The software can be upgraded or other functions can be added to the vehicle with over-the-air updates.

MORE ELECTRIC BLACK CABS THAN DIESEL
The iconic London black cab just hit a bit of a milestone. There are now more electrified versions than diesel ones. There are over 6,000 plug-in models operating in London, representing 40% of all black cabs. The model, called the TX, is made by the London Electric Vehicle Company or LEVC, which is owned by Chinese automaker Geely. The TX is only powered by electricity from the battery but it is recharged by an 81-horsepower, 1.5L turbocharged three-cylinder engine. That battery is 81-kWh and it also features a 110-kW electric motor. The TX has an overall range of 333 miles. LEVC says that since the TX was introduced in 2018, it has traveled 534 million miles globally and prevented more than 162,000 metric tons of CO2 from being emitted.

And be sure to join us for Autoline After Hours today. Some of the topics they’ll dive into include Tesla’s price cuts, the struggles of autonomous vehicle companies and more. The show goes live at 3PM eastern time on our website or YouTube channel.
But that wraps up today’s show, thanks for watching
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March 9th, 2023 at 12:27 pm
When you say “The black cabs in London prevented more than 162,000 metric tons of CO2 from being emitted”. Is that assuming Zero CO2 was created or emitted in the making of the electricity used to charge them when they were plugged in?
Cause a lot of these EV stories promoting how emission free they are, tend to forget where the power comes from and that there is likely CO2 per kWh generated. 41% of the UK’s power comes from coal or gas.
Its heading in the right direction and certainly a positive but lets not forget that electricity isnt free of its own CO2 emissions. I dont know if anyone has ever established a CO2 emissions per kWh. I doubt they want to.
March 9th, 2023 at 12:40 pm
I hope those London taxis are driven mostly with plug-in power, because they will be horribly inefficient on gas, using their series operated engine-generator.
March 9th, 2023 at 12:44 pm
The NIO wagon looks nice. It would be great with the powertrain from a Camry hybrid. It must be big, carrying up to a 150 kWh battery.
March 9th, 2023 at 12:50 pm
More predictions than results from the auto industry. Semi electric cabs in London is good, but from Geely and not from GB or the EU? THIS night’s AAH about Tesla’s price cuts is my go to TV tonight.
March 9th, 2023 at 12:53 pm
They are referring to the vehicle alone. Preventing co2 is the name of the game. Cities are cleaner without gas and diesel vehicles, people live longer etc..
Now if we look at the source of the energy to power the vehicle, we see that the mining, shipping, refining and transportation of gas and diesel releases many times the co2 of coal fired generating stations. It wins on both ends.
Don’t believe me? Take a summer road trip to the Alberta tar sands. They offer small plane tourist flights. Shocking and upsetting, it’s amazing what people will do for money. And when the oil is all gone, the companies that made this environmental devastation will disappear even faster.
March 9th, 2023 at 12:54 pm
I wonder how many NIO battery swap stations the 13 cars have access to?
March 9th, 2023 at 1:30 pm
4 The London taxis are assembled in the UK.
March 9th, 2023 at 2:09 pm
5 Preventing CO2 may be the name of the game and I’m not denying that a BEV or even a hybrid isnt better. My only point was when they throw these huge numbers around about what they have saved you need to subtract the CO2 generated while making the electricity.
Otherwise its like saying I had a car that got 20 mpg and I used 600 gal a year. but I bought a new one that gets 40 mpg and I only use 300 gallons so I saved 600 gallons.
March 9th, 2023 at 2:13 pm
4 – And, the company was a GB company, until it went bankrupt. Geely bought the remains out of bankruptcy, modernized the vehicle and restarted production with a more modern and less polluting powertrain. I believe the older models were diesel powered.
March 9th, 2023 at 2:16 pm
8 We see the point, but when reports of pollution reduction in gasoline powered vehicles are reported, they don’t include the pollution generated from the oil drilling, oil shipping, oil refining, gasoline shipping, and electricity used by the gas station.
March 9th, 2023 at 3:11 pm
10 Thats true and I see your point more clearly. I guess the only true comparison would have to be from cradle to grave. Which would be a monumental task. Trying to derive the level of emission to build and power an ICE vs a BEV. Taking into consideration the mining for oil and mining for precious metals used in battery’s. The refining and transportation of oil and of the raw materials to make the batteries. Whats generated over 15 years of use and the disposal of each. BEVs are probably better overall but it would be interesting to see the whole picture and not just what goes down the road.
March 9th, 2023 at 3:35 pm
Agreed, the London taxis have cut pollution. But I wonder how much pollution was created building the taxis? Was that cut also?
March 9th, 2023 at 4:13 pm
12 An important factor will be how long the vehicles last, and what parts, including batteries, will need to be replaced during their lifetime. As the batteries age, they well have their gas engines running more of the time, so they will become closer to being basic petrol hogs.
March 10th, 2023 at 6:07 am
The nice thing about EVs in the UK is that offshore wind energy is abundant, relatively cheap, well-established, and pretty reliable.
As the supply shifts to more renewables, cities already benefit from less noise and air pollution, which is really nice. I remember London during the heyday of unfiltered Diesels… euch.
“Offshore windfarm operators will sell power for as little as £37.35 per megawatt hour, 5.8% below the lowest bid in the most recent auction in 2019.”
About $45. So five dollars to fully charge a Model S, but that’s obviously the marginal cost. Still, UK wind power output peaked at 20.9 GW last Dec., with much more to come by 2030.
March 10th, 2023 at 9:12 am
14 I’ve been in London twice, in the 1970s, and the air quality was not good. The double decker buses and the black taxis spewed smoke, and I remember smelling coal smoke a few times. I suppose coal was still being used for home heating at the time, at least by a few people. Today’s diesels are much cleaner than those of 50 years ago, but EVs are always good for cleaning up air in dense cities.
That electricity is cheap, about a third of the utility rate where I am in Florida.
March 10th, 2023 at 12:19 pm
That’s one hell of a big engine for a series hybrid in that cab.
March 10th, 2023 at 7:19 pm
When are you going to change the same of your program to Autoline EV?