AD #3649 – OEMs Likely to Retaliate Against UAW; Tesla Makes It Harder for Legacies to Compete; Mercedes Faces Defeat Devices Accusation
September 15th, 2023 at 12:05pm
Listen to “AD #3649 – OEMs Likely to Retaliate Against UAW; Tesla Makes It Harder for Legacies to Compete; Mercedes Faces Defeat Devices Accusation” on Spreaker.
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Runtime: 11:34
0:00 UAW Shuts Down Three D3 Assembly Plants
1:00 OEMs Likely to Retaliate Against the UAW
2:34 Biden Admin Could Prep SBA Loans for Suppliers
3:40 Tesla Makes It Harder for Legacies to Compete
4:53 Bosch Signs Fuel Cell Buy-Back Plan
5:36 Hyundai Takes Elantra to the Nth Degree
6:40 Rivian Outshines Other EV Startups
7:54 Mercedes Faces Defeat Devices Accusation
8:47 Renault Has Electric Van in All Size Segments
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UAW SHUTS DOWN THREE D3 ASSEMBLY PLANTS
It’s on. The UAW launched its strike against GM, Ford and Stellantis by shutting down three assembly plants in the wee hours of the morning. That includes GM’s plant in Wentzville, Missouri, which makes the mid-size Chevrolet Colorado and GMC Canyon pickup trucks; the Jeep plant in Toledo, Ohio which makes the Jeep Wrangler and Gladiator; and Ford’s assembly plant in Wayne, Michigan that makes the Bronco and Ranger. By choosing plants in three different states, the UAW is making sure it’s going to maximize its leverage and media coverage. GM and Ford complain that they never got a serious counter offer to their final proposals, while the union says they did. So if they can’t even agree on who offered what, no wonder they couldn’t come to an agreement before the contract expired.
OEMs LIKELY TO RETALIATE AGAINST UAW
So what comes next? UAW’s Shawn Fain will likely be personally visiting the workers who are on strike, keeping their morale high, and he’ll be threatening to shut down more plants to slowly increase the pressure and pain on the automakers. But the car companies are probably not just going to sit down and take it. No doubt they’re rallying the troops. Yesterday, on Autoline After Hours, Marek Masters, a labor expert and professor at Wayne State University, laid out what the automakers may do.
“What they could do, is maybe not a lockout per se, but they could say “if they’re going to shut down certain plants we need to shut down the others, because we’ve got to protect our property, we’ve got to protect our facilities, and we’re going to shut them down so that you just can’t pick us off. So we don’t want to take new orders, we don’t want to start new processes and have you strike the next day right in the middle of this, and have to lose product and have to go through all that and suffer additional losses because we can’t plan.’ You can’t just shut a plant down and re-open it easily. So i would say you want some more predictability of your operations and say ‘if you really want to make this a test of economic wills, then let’s make it a test of economic wills.’”
By the way, Marek Masters gave us a lot more insight into this labor struggle and you can learn about everything he said by watching that show on our website or YouTube channel.
BIDEN ADMIN COULD PREP SBA LOANS FOR SUPPLIERS
One of the biggest concerns about this strike is that hundreds of small Tier 2 and Tier 3 suppliers, who are already under financial distress, could collapse completely. These are suppliers who were financially crippled because of the big drop in production volume due to the Covid pandemic and chip shortage. With interest rates so high right now they can’t even afford to borrow the money they need to keep their operations going. And the UAW strike could be the straw that breaks the camel’s back. So the Biden Administration is looking at providing these suppliers with emergency low-interest loans from the Small Business Administration. Or it may ask the Labor Department to provide grants to those companies to cover the cost of their workers. The strike is putting the Biden Administration in a bind. President Biden says he’s the most pro-labor president ever, but a prolonged strike could hurt his reelection chances. So if this strike goes on for more than two weeks, it’s going to spill over into the political arena.
TESLA MAKES IT HARDER FOR LEGACIES TO COMPETE
And while the legacy automakers are struggling with a legacy union, Tesla is showing the world that it’s a lot more than just a car company. Tesla operates a platform, called Autobidder, that uses AI to trade electricity stored in its energy assets around the world, including Powerpacks, Powerwalls and Megapacks. The system controls over 7 GWh of battery storage and according to a LinkedIn post by the head of Autobidder, it’s returned over $330 million in trading profit to owners and operators, which includes Tesla itself. So, if Tesla and its partners build up a big enough storage system, it could be electric utilities that are paying them to store and supply power. It’s moves like these that are going to make it even harder for legacy automakers to compete against Tesla

BOSCH SIGNS FUEL CELL BUY-BACK PLAN
Sustainability is one of the biggest buzz words you hear in the auto industry. And the latest example is that Bosch entered into an agreement with the German-based truck rental company Hylane, to buy back fuel cell stacks it made for their hydrogen trucks once they’ve reached the end of their useful life. Bosch will then have the stacks recycled by a third-party to recover the platinum inside. The supplier will then use that platinum to make new fuel cell stacks. The recycling process can recover at least 95% of the platinum and Bosch says recycling can save more than 95% of CO2 emissions generated by platinum mining.

HYUNDAI TAKES ELANTRA TO THE Nth DEGREE
Hyundai’s performance brand, called N, just celebrated its 8th birthday. The automaker poached the head of BMW’s M division, Albert Biermann, who’s now a technical adviser with the Group, to build up the N brand, which is becoming popular with enthusiasts. And those enthusiasts are the ones providing feedback to the company and that directly lead to some of the improvements being made to the Elantra N. One such thing is reprogrammed engine software that optimizes the use of high-octane gas for better performance. The software for the suspension and stability control systems were also changed. And there’s a bunch of other improvements, including to the steering, the cooling for the engine and brakes, to the spoiler and to various mounts and bushings. This new Elantra N will be the first N model that Hyundai offers in China, which joins the U.S. and Australia as Hyundai’s other performance markets. Sales should kick off soon.

RIVIAN OUTSHINES OTHER US EV STARTUPS
EV startups are struggling to gain traction in the U.S. due to Tesla’s price war and legacy automakers introducing more electric models. But Rivian is doing the best among the startups. According to Experian, 2,750 Rivian’s were registered in July and in the first seven months of the year, it was more than 18,000, and that doesn’t include the vans Rivian builds for Amazon. Since most startups don’t report monthly sales, the registration numbers help tell the story of what’s going on. Lucid Motors registered 348 EVs in July and nearly 3,800 from January to July. VinFast only had 19 in July and its seven-month total is just 170. And Fisker, which delivered its first vehicle in the U.S. in June, had 30 registrations in July. But while the startups are struggling, EVs are growing fast in the U.S. Of the 9.1 million vehicle registrations through July, EVs accounted for 7.2% of them, which is up from 4.9% a year ago.
MERCEDES STILL INSTALLING DEFEAT DEVICES?
This is something that’s surprising to still see happening in 2023. Mercedes may be forced to recall vehicles in Germany because they have emission defeat devices. Germany’s transport authority KBA says it found three devices installed in cars built under the Euro 6 standard, which is the EU’s most recent and strictest limits. The European Court of Justice says the devices are illegal under certain conditions and ordered Mercedes to fix the problem or face a recall. Mercedes says it’s cooperating with the investigation and believes it has a software update that can take care of the issue. I wonder if this would have any impact on vehicle performance, like the VW diesel software updates did. And if it does, it could lead to another lawsuit from customers.
RENAULT HAS ELECTRIC VAN IN ALL SIZE SEGMENTS
With the new Trafic E-Tech, Renault has an all-electric version of its vans in each size segment. It will be offered in two lengths and two heights. All versions are powered by a 90 kW or 122 horsepower electric motor, which gets its juice from a 52 kWh battery pack. It has a range of 297 kilometers or 184 miles or with an Eco mode that limits power and top speed to 90 km/h or about 55 MPH the Trafic E-Tech can go 322 kilometers or 200 miles. At the moment, the battery is only able to charge with AC power of up to 22 kW, but Renault says DC charging of 50 kW will be available next year. Orders open next month and deliveries start before the end of the year.

But that brings us to the end of today’s show. Thanks for making Autoline a part of your day and I hope you have a great weekend.
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September 15th, 2023 at 12:23 pm
I’m surprised about which plants the UAW targeted with GM and Chrysler. As far as I know, Bronco is still a hot item, so striking Ford Wayne seems logical, but aren’t there big inventories of the products from GM Wentzville and Jeep Toledo? Will the strike hurt the companies much?
September 15th, 2023 at 12:38 pm
I’ll admit I am coming at this UAW strike issue from the outside looking in, but it just seems to me they were asking for a bit too much to begin with. So let me get this straight…You want your people to work 8hrs less but get paid for 40hrs, and then get a 46% pay hike to boot? Sorry, but that just sounds completely asinine to me.
I must be missing something here. There must be more to this – something that makes sense. Someone please educate me, because at first glance the UAW’s proposal appears awfully lop-sided.
September 15th, 2023 at 12:48 pm
MJB – You aren’t missing anything on the pay increase side. On top of that, he wants elimination of tiers, which at least one OEM conceded (yet all other professions have tiers wherein new pros are paid less in their 1st 2-4 years while they learn on the job). And he wants pensions, but don’t know if he is willing to give back defined contributions (a.k.a. 401k).
September 15th, 2023 at 1:01 pm
And, all of that while not touching their healthcare plan, which is only equaled by the plan Congress created for themselves. Who has company provided healthcare coverage for health, vision and dental with NO deductible? The UAW. Also, please note that the white collar coverage is not nearly as good. A friend that works at Ford HQ told me just last night that his plan has a $3,000 annual deductible.
Think of the savings if the companies could implement just a $1,000 deductible. That could fund a lot of the other items they are asking for.
By the way, they are also the highest paid auto assembly workers in this country. Their current pay level is significantly higher than Tesla or any of the import plants pay. They are also near or at the top of the pack of similar jobs in similar industries. Don’t listen to the UAW hype, get the facts. They already make a very nice living and have justification for only a couple of modest pay and benefit increases. Going back to the pay and benefits packages they had before the Great Recession will only make the chances of success much lower for the Big 3.
September 15th, 2023 at 1:16 pm
Marek Masters made some good points and depending on how the negotiations go I will be a bit reluctant to buy any vehicles assembled during this time. Could be a lot of angry or disgruntled employees on the floor. Not to mention the havoc created by assembly lines stopped mid production for who knows how long. If this strike lasts a couple months, you could have a vehicle and components that sat on the factory floor for months. Sheet metal bodies tend to rust if they don’t make it to paint in a week or so.
September 15th, 2023 at 1:26 pm
Sean I would almost bet that the Mercedes cheat device will affect performance. Why else would they do it? In order to meet emissions, you have to sacrifice something, and that something is always performance. So when the lawsuits start flying what’s a few HP worth?
September 15th, 2023 at 1:33 pm
#3, #4 – I thought so. Thanks for confirming.
Last I checked, you still don’t need a college education to work in a plant, yet the potential is there to earn a 6-figure salary with benefits similar to what City of Detroit employees get (pretty darn nice. I know because my brother’s been a bus mechanic with the city for 25 years).
September 15th, 2023 at 1:34 pm
The 32 hour work week thing is almost definitely something to “bargain away,” and even Fain knows that there is no way they will get it.
It would seem that the tiered wage structure should have room for “middle ground.” It is now 8 years before workers get full pay. Maybe they could shorten that, but still start at less than full pay.
5 I always felt that way about buying vehicles built during a strike, or during the time leading up to the end of a contract. I always order cars, so I’d delay ordering until things settled out, if I was getting a car during a contract year.
September 15th, 2023 at 3:06 pm
I used to work at the Kokomo Transmission plant for about 10 years and think taking 8 years is to long to get to top pay, most jobs can be learned in a week or just 2-3 days. Maybe 6 months to 1 year would OK to get top pay. no comment on rest of the contract, I can see both sides of the issue.
September 15th, 2023 at 3:22 pm
Another great week of autoline,thanks
September 15th, 2023 at 4:50 pm
Good AAH yesterday.
September 16th, 2023 at 11:54 am
Do any companies have defined pensions any more? I understand the UAW wanting them, but I doubt if any companies have them, unless maybe some of the big military contractors or something like that.
Many, or most government employees have pension plans, and the US military still has a very good one, unless it has changed recently.
September 17th, 2023 at 8:25 am
As a retired GM employee, I have to say, this is the most callous negogtiations I’ve ever seen. Nobody will win on this one and permanent damage will probably ensue from this. The foreign car company will say thank you. Now, we can probably even make you weaker and someday wipe you out completely.
September 17th, 2023 at 11:57 am
13 Exactly. This strike to end quickly, or the companies will be in deep trouble. The only thing they have going for them now, is that they dominate the big pickup market, but that could change. If the companies go bankrupt, would the UAW contract still apply if, say, BYD bought a bankrupt GM or Ford, just for the truck business?
September 17th, 2023 at 10:29 pm
Fwiw, I hope the OEM’s have to concede here, and end up signing a big fat contract with the UAW.
The OEM’s have milked the heck out of the ‘we’re struggling’ trope, for far too long. The union gave HUGE concessions during the bailouts, and have gotten very little back since then. It’s time to level it out.
I think it’s also bizarre that people say they shouldn’t get a raise, because other manufacturers pay less. I’m kind of like, so what? You can always find people who will work for less when there is no option to work for more. With the companies as profitable as they are, they CAN afford to pay people extremely well.
And as for workers getting hosed at those other plants, if they get representation, and see that the union will work FOR them, maybe more plants in the so-called “Right to work” states will agree to be organized.
The final line I call BS is, OEM’s claiming that they need to keep wages low, because the energy transition is coming, so they need the cash to go EV. Sorry folks, the worker is NOT here to finance the growth and development of the corporations new products. That’s not how this works. BANKS finance growth. Not workers.
But that’s the view from my part of the beachball