AD #1753 – Smokin’ Hot U.S. Sales, Audi Sticks with Diesel in Race Car, VW Announces 4-Cylinder TDI Fix for Europe
November 30th, 2015 at 11:48am
Runtime: 6:44
- November Sales Forecast
- Have Sales Peaked?
- VW Sales in Germany Collapse, or Not?
- Audi Sticks with Diesel in Race Car
- Porsche Opens Centers for Classics
- VW Announces 4-Cylinder TDI Fix for Europe
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On today’s show… car sales are running red hot in the American market, the VW scandal won’t hurt the company’s racing efforts and VW has come up with a solution to fix its diesels in Europe. All that and more coming right up on Autoline Daily.
This is Autoline Daily for November 30th, 2015.
SMOKIN’ HOT U.S. SALES
Automakers in the United States will report their November sales tomorrow and they should show that the market continues to run red hot. Ward’s forecasts that the SAAR will hit 18.4 million vehicles. It says sales should hit 1.3 million cars and trucks, up 3.2% for the month, but when adjusted for the daily selling rate, it says they should be up 12%. Amongst the major automakers, it expects Nissan, FCA, and Hyundai-Kia to be the biggest gainers.
A PEEK AT THE PEAK
But those red-hot sales numbers suggest that the American market is just about at its peak. At least from a profitability standpoint. That’s according to the investment company Sanford Bernstein. It says that sales volume can’t go much higher, that financing cannot get any cheaper, and that new assembly plants opening in Mexico are going to add more capacity. It believes all that will erode the profitability of the car companies. But here’s our Autoline Insight: as we’ve reported before, other analysts believe sales in the U.S. will go up even more in 2016, and that they may not cool off until the end of 2017. And remember, last week we told you how General Motors is increasing the variable profit of the new Malibu by $1,500, thanks to its new architecture. We think automakers will find new ways to offset costs that can protect their profitability.
VW SALES COLLAPSE, OR NOT?
Speaking of new car sales, there’s something of a mystery going on in Germany about whether Volkswagen’s sales are collapsing or holding their own. A report from a daily newspaper in Frankfurt, the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, says that VW sales are dropping fast. Reportedly, Germans are very upset that VW understated its CO2 emissions. But Volkswagen sort of denies that report. VW told reuters that “the numbers we have paint a different picture of the situation in Germany.” Later in the show, we’ll have more on the diesel emissions fix that VW came up with.
And while Volkswagen is still reeling from this scandal, at least it looks like a big part of its racing program will not be affected. That’s coming up next.
AUDI’S DIESEL RACE CAR
Dieselgate has rocked Volkswagen’s universe and some feared its racing efforts would suffer, but Audi just pulled the wraps off its brand-new LMP1 race car, the R18. Although, we are seeing some cost-cutting efforts as both Porsche and Audi will only field 2 entrants instead of three in the Le Mans 24 Hours. The new race car is still a hybrid that relies on diesel engine technology, but rather than stick with a mechanical flywheel for energy storage the R18 will switch over to lithium-ion batteries. Audi says this is the most powerful and efficient race car it has ever built and it’s sure hoping that translates into wins on the race track. Last year’s defeat at Le Mans was only the 3rd time since the year 2000 that Audi lost the race.
PORSCHE GARAGE FOR CLASSICS
We’ve seen Porsche continually roll out new parts for its classic cars, a great way for any automaker to drum up some extra cash, especially Porsche with more than 70% of the cars it’s ever produced still on the road. But now for the first time Porsche is bringing service, workshop and sales exclusively for its classic cars under one roof. The first Porsche center just opened up in the Netherlands, but there are plans to open an additional 100 centers around the world by 2018.
Coming up next, Volkswagen came up with a way to fix its diesels that looks like it came out of a J.C. Whitney catalog.
VW ANNOUNCES 4-CYLINDER TDI FIX FOR EUROPE
Volkswagen has come up with a solution to fix its 1.6L and 2.0L diesel engines in Europe. The 2.0L diesel will receive a software update which should take a half an hour to complete. In addition to a software update, the 1.6L diesel will be fitted with what it calls a “flow transformer.” It’s a plastic mesh screen that sits directly in front of the air mass sensor on the engine. In a statement the company says it’s “a mesh that calms the swirled air flow in front of the air mass sensor and will thus decisively improve the measuring accuracy of the air mass sensor.” VW expects that fix to take less than an hour. The new measures have been approved by the German Federal Motor Transport Authority and the company will start fixing the engines in January. VW will also submit a fix to the Federal Motor Transport Authority for its 1.2L 3-cylinder diesel at the end of the month. Boy, here we thought it was technically difficult to meet emission standards and it turns out all you need is a plastic screen. Will wonders never cease?
We have a great Autoline After Hours coming up Thursday. John and Gary will be out at the media launch for the new Nissan Titan. Has Nissan finally cracked the code to figure out how to get Americans to buy its pickup truck? Tune in Thursday to get some of the best insights as to what’s really going on in the global automotive industry.
And with that we wrap up today’s report. Thanks for watching and please join us again tomorrow.
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November 30th, 2015 at 12:23 pm
Seems like the vW diesel fix was pretty simple….
Almost stupid the engineers didn’t design this fix from the get go…
Was it the cost of the plastic tube that prohibited vW from just meeting emissions standards?
November 30th, 2015 at 12:29 pm
Sean,
The airflow straightener seems a little fishy to me too. To get back the fuel mileage I’ll bet they will also fit a couple of the “special magnets” on the fuel lines to align the fuel molecules.
November 30th, 2015 at 12:41 pm
Pardon me while I go corner the global market for cow magnets…
November 30th, 2015 at 12:51 pm
Whatever works, works; the smart man starts with the simplest solutions first. Also note, as reported, this is the fix for the European market; I’m guessing the American fix might not be so easy (but time will tell).
And if Nissan wants to ‘çrack’ the U.S. market, what that involves is bringing a world-class truck to the very competitive market that we enjoy here. Even Toyota took a bunch of tries (and is still fighting to secure a niche).
November 30th, 2015 at 1:16 pm
The real sad part about the VW fix is, if it really is that simple to correct then they are fools for not doing it sooner. The damage that has been created and could have been avoided with a plastic tube. smh..
November 30th, 2015 at 1:19 pm
It will be interesting to learn if the new Titan is all new, or just a refresh of their 10 year old truck. Originally the next-gen Titan was to be based off of the Ram platform, but that fell through in 2009. Did Nissan have enough time and money to do a whole new truck for such a small piece of the truck market?
November 30th, 2015 at 2:07 pm
VW’s fix doesn’t seem to fix the issue that their emissions is still too dirty as this software fix will not fix this as the engine will now simply won’t try to mask the truth.
November 30th, 2015 at 2:44 pm
Looks to me like vw made the effective intake diameter smaller. Nice story about straightening the air flow too.
November 30th, 2015 at 5:03 pm
VW repairs still amount to 2.8 mil. vehicles @ 1/2 hr/repair; that’s still a big hunk of change! And if the corrective repair was sooo simple and inexpensive, why did VW take the course they did and why did they hide it?
November 30th, 2015 at 5:56 pm
new malibu new architecture non hybrid 37 mpg hwy? i guess that`s a good thing if you want to sell hybrids. but what if you`re not interested in hybrid? way to really set the bar high GM all that lightweighting for this? really?
November 30th, 2015 at 7:48 pm
@ BobD: Do a google on yhe all new Titan XD since you have some doubts.And check out the pics of the frame….wow,just awesome for a 1/2 ton.
November 30th, 2015 at 10:45 pm
If Nissan is going to get into the truck business they have to price their trucks anywhere from 15 to 20% less than Ford and GM. They should do it now instead of waiting to do it after the truck sits on a dealers lot anywhere from 10 to 15 months.
December 1st, 2015 at 7:07 pm
10 Heah?