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AD #3735 – EV Shift to Cost Thousands of Jobs in EU; Cybertruck Generates Big Buzz in China; VW Takes Action to Stop Slide in China

January 29, 2024 by sean

Listen to “AD #3735 – EV Shift to Cost Thousands of Jobs in EU; Cybertruck Generates Big Buzz in China; VW Takes Action to Stop Slide in China” on Spreaker.

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Runtime: 9:01

0:00 EV Shift to Cause Thousands of Job Losses in EU
1:13 VW Takes Action to Stop Slide in China
2:24 Toyota Suspends Shipments Of 10 Diesel Models
3:22 AutoX Expands Robotaxi Operations in China
4:18 Tesla Cybertruck Generates Big Buzz in China
5:25 Musk Says Dojo a Long Shot but Worth the Risk
6:23 Rio Adds BYD EVs To Police Fleet
7:09 Volvo Trucks Launches New Lineup

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This is Autoline Daily, the show dedicated to enthusiasts of the global automotive industry.

EV SHIFT TO CAUSE THOUSANDS OF JOB LOSSES IN EU
The shift to electric vehicles is going to result in hundreds of thousands of job losses in Europe. A study from PwC, commissioned by the European Association of Automotive Suppliers, forecasts the loss of 359,000 jobs related to ICE powertrains between 2030 and 2035. The EU plans to ban new ICE vehicles in 2035 but there are some exemptions for vehicles that run on synthetic fuel. However, the study says that jumps to over 500,000 job losses if the EU goes with a strict EV approach. The EV push will create around 226,000 EV related jobs, but that still means there will be a net loss of 275,000 jobs with the higher estimate. So, to help cushion that blow, the auto industry is calling on EU lawmakers to provide more funding and training programs to transition from ICEs to EVs.

VW TAKES ACTION TO STOP SLIDE IN CHINA
The Volkswagen Group has stumbled in China and continues to try and find its footing. In 2019, it sold 4.2 million vehicles there. Last year that dropped to 3.2 million. The problem? VW has not kept up with the rapid transition to EVs in the Chinese market. Last year it only sold 155,000 EVs to Chinese customers. So to try and catch up fast, it’s buying Chinese technology. Volkswagen will use an electronic architecture from XPeng, while Audi is buying an EV platform from SAIC. And the electric Porsche Macan will use batteries from CATL. To try and streamline its decision making, Volkswagen is cutting its board of management from 8 members to 7. The board member it’s cutting is Thomas Ulbrich, but he was appointed as VW’s new CTO for China. China is a critical market for the Volkswagen Group, accounting for roughly 50% of its sales and 40% of its profits. So, unless it stops the slide there, it’s going to really hurt the company.

TOYOTA SUSPENDS SHIPMENTS OF 10 DIESEL MODELS
Well this is a big black eye for Toyota. The automaker announced it’s suspending global shipments of 10 diesel powered vehicles because it discovered certification irregularities with the engines. They were built by Toyota Industries Corporation which is part of the Toyota Group. The models include its Hiace vans, Hilux pickups, Fortuner SUVs, Innova minivans, the Land Cruiser and the Lexus LX. The vehicles are sold in Japan, Europe, Asia, Africa and the Middle East. This is hugely embarrassing for the company as it doesn’t like to be seen breaking the law. CEO Koji Sato even bowed in apology before addressing the media on the issue. But this isn’t an isolated incident at Toyota. The automaker is also in hot water for similar problems at its Daihatsu and Hino subsidiaries.

AUTOX EXPANDS ROBOTAXI OPERATIONS IN CHINA
China is slowly but surely making progress on robotaxis but they have eyes at dominating the market. And now Chinese autonomous startup AutoX has received approval to test its vehicles without a safety driver on public roads in the city of Guangzhou. AutoX also operates driverless vehicles in three other cities in China as well as in Silicon Valley in the U.S. The company is aiming to deploy a fleet of Level 4 robotaxis in the future. And we find it interesting that it’s using Chrysler Pacificas for its service and not a vehicle from a Chinese automaker.

AutoX Chrysler Pacifica Robotaxi

TESLA CYBERTRUCK GENERATES BIG BUZZ IN CHINA
Chinese consumers are going ga-ga for Tesla’s Cybertruck. CarNewsChina reports that Tesla has officially kicked off a tour of the Cybertruck in the country and at least one location had a line over 2 hours long just to see the truck. But Elon Musk has previously said it would be difficult to get the Cybertruck road legal in China and there’s currently no word if it will sell it in the country. This is likely related to a ban of pickups from cities, which was first implemented in 2000 as a way to curb pollution and traffic. However, a number of big cities have started to lift those bans and China sells about half a million pickups every year. Ford even sells the F-150 Raptor there. But it could be that sales volume is not enough to justify bringing the Cybertruck to China in Musk’s eye. So, he could try to get around classifying the Cybertruck as a pickup. The same report says Tesla has been calling the Cybertruck an “Off-Road Adventure Vehicle” in promotions in the country.

MUSK SAYS DOJO A LONG SHOT BUT WORTH THE RISK
Speaking of Tesla, it’s investing $500 million into a Dojo supercomputer at its Gigafactory in New York. Dojo was designed and built for computer vision video processing and recognition to train its machine learning models so it can improve Full Self Driving. But the efforts could fall flat on their face. On its most recent earnings call Elon Musk called Dojo a long shot that doesn’t have a high probability of success. But he said it’s a long shot worth taking because the payoff could be high. Even so, it looks like Tesla is going to rely more heavily on a supplier to build supercomputers that help train its AI system. Musk says Tesla will probably spend more than that $500 million on hardware from NVIDIA this year and that to be competitive in AI you have to spend at least several billion dollars a year.   

RIO ADDS BYD EVs TO POLICE FLEET
Chinese automakers are boldly going where traditional automakers don’t dare to go. At least with electric cars. While traditional automakers say South America isn’t ready for EVs, that’s not stopping BYD. It bought an assembly plant in Brazil to make EVs, including police cars. Autoline viewer Eduardo Azevedo got these pictures of BYD police cars in Rio de Janeiro, and maybe this shows that there are big cities in South America that are absolutely ready to go electric. By the way, we get great tips from our viewers from all around the world, so if you spot something that you think we ought to be aware of, send it our way.

BYD Police Car

VOLVO TRUCKS LAUNCHES NEW LINEUP
Volvo Trucks is launching an all-new lineup of long-haulers that ride on an all-new platform. This allows for a wide range of powertrain types, including BEV, fuel cell, ICE and ICEs that can run on renewable fuels, like hydrogen. It will also incorporate a 24-volt electronic architecture and efficiency improvements of 5-10% depending on the type of truck. In North America, Volvo Trucks launched the all-new VNL, while Europe, Australia and markets in Asia get the all-new FH. And have you ever wondered why big trucks look different in the U.S. and Europe? Well, there’s restrictions in Europe to total vehicle length, so if you had a U.S. style semi in Europe it would have to have a shorter trailer. So, that’s why what is called a cab-over design is so popular in the EU.

Volvo Trucks New Lineup

And that brings us to the end of today’s show. Thanks for tuning in.

Thanks to our partner for embedding Autoline Daily on its website: WardsAuto.com

Filed Under: Autoline Daily, More to See Tagged With: autonomous vehicle, AutoX, Brazil, BYD, China, Chrysler Pacifica, diesel, Dojo supercomputer, electric vehicles, Electric Vehicles and Environment, Elon Musk, EU, Europe, EV, heavy duty truck, ICE, Industry News, Internal Combustion Engines, police car, robotaxi, self-driving car, semi-truck, Tesla, Tesla Cybertruck, Tesla Dojo, toyota, Volkswagen, Volvo Trucks, VW

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Lambo2015 says

    January 29, 2024 at 12:26 pm

    Sean- You reported a few weeks back that Tesla was now looking for Cybertruck buyers to place a non-refundable $1000 deposit down in place of the refundable $100 deposit. Any word on how many reservations Tesla has gotten or is that being kept quiet?

  2. Dave says

    January 29, 2024 at 12:41 pm

    As I recall the cabover was invented in America wonder why you don’t see them as often as ;you did 50 years ago?

  3. Kit Gerhart says

    January 29, 2024 at 1:04 pm

    Isn’t the $1000 nonrefundable deposit to convert early reservations into actual, configured orders? I’m curious about how many months, or years away delivery would be for those who make the $1000 deposits.

    Another $1000 item from Tesla, is that they will give a $1000 discount to those who made $100 Cybertruck deposits, if they buy a different Tesla vehicle now.

  4. Sean Wagner says

    January 29, 2024 at 1:05 pm

    Regarding Cybertruck, according to recent info from the earnings call (?), the ramp of 4680 battery cell lines will support volume production as required. This was something I was beginning to wonder about – but then why is the installed capacity on the meager side? Never mind that EVs’ current sweetspot is far below those curb weights.

  5. MERKUR DRIVER says

    January 29, 2024 at 1:13 pm

    Dave,

    COE is a design that resolved a problem in the USA. In the USA there was a 65 foot total length restriction for trucks. The COE allowed you to meet that requirement without sacrificing cargo space. So that was a good thing.

    However, there were problems and it came down to just a few things. They are viewed as not safe in the USA. And the old COEs were definitely not safe. Of course modern COE trucks are safe, but many view them as not safe.

    The rise of the sleeper cab made the COE obsolete as it was more difficult to access the sleeper cab way back when. Then you had to crawl over the engine to get to the back and access was via a tiny hole in the wall of the cab. Modern COE of course has solved that, but mainly by raising the cab even higher making it less convenient to get in and out of them.

    The biggest issue though is ride comfort. The COE is smaller in overall length which improves efficiency, but hurts substantially on ride. The longer effective wheelbase is superior to traversing the roads in the USA. In Europe the roads are a far bit better condition so you wouldn’t notice the poor ride quality of a COE. Especially with the modern COE cab perched so high; which would make the ride quality even worse.

  6. Lambo2015 says

    January 29, 2024 at 1:20 pm

    Dave- The main reason why you dont see many cab over designs is the length restrictions in the US allow for tractors with nose which provide a better ride and quieter interior. I would also assume better safety in a head on collision. So given the choice cab over is second. Would probably be elsewhere too but the length restrictions dictate the need for a flat nose.

  7. Kit Gerhart says

    January 29, 2024 at 1:28 pm

    There are still a lot of COE medium duty box trucks and garbage trucks in the US, but most over-the-road tractors are conventional. There is apparently no longer a maximum allowed length, given the number of double trailer rigs I see. Yeah, conventional tractors with the longer wheelbase would ride better on bad roads, and they look better, at least to me.

  8. XA351GT says

    January 29, 2024 at 1:28 pm

    Dave, I don’t know about you , but I know I wouldn’t want only a thin amount of material between me and another vehicle. Cabovers offer no protection to the occupants . So my guess is US safety regs may have something to do with it.

  9. Kit Gerhart says

    January 29, 2024 at 2:56 pm

    COE trucks would be less safe in a crash than conventionals, but might get in fewer crashes because of the better outward visibility, and better maneuverability.

  10. ChuckGrenci says

    January 30, 2024 at 8:07 am

    I would think that the only safety concern with a Cabover would be hitting another truck/bus or obstruction; I don’t believe many other vehicles would be a safety concern; the truck is still going to ‘win’ in a most crashes. I’m not trying to be cavalier in a response, just pragmatic.

  11. Kit Gerhart says

    January 30, 2024 at 8:45 am

    Chuck, exactly. The cabovers are big and heavy, and the occupants would be above the crash in most cases.

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